Insights

CIO Weekly

July 13, 2026 · Powered by MARY

**Late Cycle with Stagflation Conditions — hold the equity anchor, cut nominal bonds, and raise cash for optionality while the regime resolves.**

CIO Weekly

July 6, 2026 · Powered by MARY

**CONTESTED: Stagflation vs Late Cycle — 32% probability of LATE_CYCLE in 3-6 months (gradual transition). 0 critical, 0 **

CIO Weekly

June 27, 2026 · Powered by MARY

CONTESTED: Stagflation vs Late Cycle — confidence fell to 44.8% as oil crashed $10 to $70.24 and tech rotated out. 0 critical, 1 warning trip wire. Staying invested but hedged: equity 59%, cash 12%.

CIO Weekly

June 13, 2026 · Powered by MARY

**CONTESTED: Stagflation vs Late Cycle — 32% probability of LATE_CYCLE in 3-6 months (gradual transition). 0 critical, 1 **

CIO Weekly

June 9, 2026 · Powered by MARY

Regime is a genuine stagflation/late-cycle near-tie — not a Goldilocks transition (see correction).

CIO Weekly

May 26, 2026 · Powered by MARY

**STAGFLATION — 32% probability of LATE_CYCLE in 3-6 months (gradual transition). 0 critical, 1 **

CIO Weekly

May 12, 2026 · Powered by MARY

**LATE_CYCLE — 24% probability of GOLDILOCKS in 3-6 months (gradual transition). 2 critical, 0 **

CIO Weekly

May 5, 2026 · Powered by MARY

**LATE_CYCLE — 24% probability of GOLDILOCKS in 3-6 months (gradual transition). 1 critical, 0 **

CIO Weekly

April 20, 2026 · Powered by MARY

**LATE_CYCLE — 24% probability of GOLDILOCKS in 3-6 months (gradual transition). 0 critical, 0 **

CIO Weekly

April 17, 2026 · Powered by MARY

**LATE_CYCLE — 24% probability of GOLDILOCKS in 3-6 months (gradual transition). 0 critical, 0 **

CIO Weekly

April 7, 2026 · Powered by MARY

**LATE_CYCLE — The Calm is a Trap**