Publications
Research Output
Essays, research notes, and working papers from ClarityX Research Institute. Organized by research theme.
Decision-Making Under Uncertainty
Research theme →Why More Data Often Makes Investment Decisions Worse
EssayParson Tang
Forecasting Versus Scenario Thinking
EssayParson Tang
The Hidden Cost of Overconfidence in Institutional Portfolios
EssayParson Tang
Market Regimes & Structural Cycles
Research theme →Institutional-Grade Macro Regime Detection: A Quantitative Framework
White PaperParson Tang — January 2026
The Fork in the Road: A Framework for Navigating the Late-Cycle Inflection Point
White PaperParson Tang — December 2025
Adaptive Sector Rotation: A Five-Layer Institutional Framework
White PaperParson Tang — January 2026
Portfolio Construction as a System
Research theme →The Illusion of Diversification
EssayParson Tang
Why Risk Is Not Volatility
EssayParson Tang
Sector Rotation Engine: A Rigorous Approach
Research NoteParson Tang
The Yield Curve Steepening Cycle
Research theme →The Yield Curve Un-Inversion Signal: A Quantitative Analysis of Recession Predictability
White PaperParson Tang — December 2025
Long-Term Capital & Liabilities
Research theme →Why Long-Term Capital Requires Short-Term Discipline
EssayParson Tang
Governance Is a Decision System, Not a Process
EssayParson Tang
Manager Selection: Skill vs. Luck
Research theme →Why Manager Selection Breaks Down Over Time
EssayParson Tang
AI as Cognitive Infrastructure
Research theme →What It Means to Build an AI CIO
EssayParson Tang
Compounding Analytical Intelligence: How an AI Investment System Teaches Itself to Become an Expert
White PaperParson Tang — March 2026
The Self-Improving Signal: A Technical Deep Dive into the Alpha Engine
Design PaperParson Tang — April 2026
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