ClarityX Research Institute

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Alpha lab trading ideas and strategy research from ClarityX Research Institute.


The War Premium Nobody Is Pricing

Parson TangMarch 28, 2026

Markets are pricing a contained Iran conflict. History says that's exactly when they're most wrong. A 3-scenario analysis with backtested transmission mechanics, live regime data, and one high-conviction positioning trade.

Don't Buy Gold for the War. Buy It for What Comes After.

Parson TangMarch 27, 2026

Gold is down 20% during the biggest Middle East escalation in decades. That's not a contradiction — it's a signal, and most people are reading it wrong. A data-driven scenario analysis of gold, the petrodollar, and the cost of a prolonged conflict.

The Rearmament Supply Chain

Parson TangMarch 7, 2026

Global defense spending hit $2.72 trillion in 2024 -- the steepest increase since the Cold War. But the consensus trade misses where the real scarcity lives. A supply chain framework for thinking about the rearmament cycle.