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Research and analysis from ClarityX, powered by our multi-agent reasoning platform. Macro regime assessment, trading ideas, company analysis, and portfolio strategy.

Trading Ideas

The War Premium Nobody Is Pricing

March 28, 2026

Markets are pricing a contained Iran conflict. History says that's exactly when they're most wrong. A 3-scenario analysis with backtested transmission mechanics, live regime data, and one high-conviction positioning trade.

Trading Ideas

Don't Buy Gold for the War. Buy It for What Comes After.

March 27, 2026

Gold is down 20% during the biggest Middle East escalation in decades. That's not a contradiction — it's a signal, and most people are reading it wrong. A data-driven scenario analysis of gold, the petrodollar, and the cost of a prolonged conflict.

Trading Ideas

The Rearmament Supply Chain

March 7, 2026

Global defense spending hit $2.72 trillion in 2024 -- the steepest increase since the Cold War. But the consensus trade misses where the real scarcity lives. A supply chain framework for thinking about the rearmament cycle.

The Thinking Behind the Analysis

The frameworks and research behind our analysis.

Essay

Why Investment Decisions Fail Under Uncertainty

Essay

The Illusion of Diversification

White Paper

Institutional-Grade Macro Regime Detection: A Quantitative Framework

White Paper

The Fork in the Road: Navigating the Late-Cycle Inflection Point

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